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Global Cooling or Global Warming, Which is it?


Is It Really Getting Colder? What Does Scientifically Undisputed Data Say? The stakes could not be higher or our collective reality any more dire. This being the case, many are willing to lie about reality for a long list of reasons. Many others are all too quick to believe the lies without any objective investigation, especially if the lies are what they want to believe.

Dane Wigington

I want to make one point clear, my goal in pointing out specific facts, charts, and details is primarily to bring attention to the subject of global geoengineering. I am not saying geoengineering is the sole source for the climate chaos and atmospheric disintegration that is now unfolding around us, there are many causal factors, but I do believe data indicates geoengineering is the single greatest climate disrupting factor of all. (Not to mention poisoning all life on earth in the process).

When “global cooling” articles and conclusions are embraced by anti-geoengineering activists and web sites, without proper investigation, these activists and web sites are then completely discredited in many circles that are all too good at “throwing the baby out with the bathwater”. The subject of geoengineering goes out the window with the “climate change denial” that can not be rationally denied at this point if one truly examines hard data. If we are ever to bring geoengineering to the light of day, we can not afford such mis steps. It is imperative that we all make an effort to pull together, and not open up new battle fronts in directions that are not supported by verifiable information.

So, is it getting colder?

Is the Arctic ice cap really growing? No, it is steadily and rapidly shrinking, the current bombardment of spun math is this, the cap is 60% larger than last year, the lowest ice cover ever recorded. 2013 will still be at best the 4th LOWEST ice “extent” area ever recorded. “Extent” refers to the surface area alone, not the “ice mass” which I will cover below. The ice “mass” is by far the most telling factor of what is truly occurring in the Arctic.

Screen Shot 2013-09-06 at 8.39.21 PM


In regard to the Arctic ice “mass”, (total volume), it is at all time record lows and still declining. The mass has declined over 80% from the historical average.

Screen Shot 2013-09-07 at 10.46.03 AM


How about the ten warmest years on record, all in the last 15 years?


What about the 362 “all time record highs in the US during 2012, ZERO record lows, ZERO. 2012 was also the hottest year ever recorded in the US


Another thing that is extremely important to consider, it appears that all the climate data/temperature records are being radically falsified to the down side. In the areas we have investigated it seems that the “official reading” for a given day is routinely 3, 4, or even 5 degrees below what actually occurred on the ground. This is a massive data skewing factor which helps to hide the true extent of the warming. In addition, “official agencies” like NOAA,(NOAA is connected to geoengineering contractor “Raytheon”), and National Weather Service ( NWS is connected to geoengineering contractor Lockheed Martin), etc, now appear to be logging many more temperature readings from a given “cold” event as compared to “heat wave” areas of the same land mass. This skews the data to the down side even further. On top of all this, lets add the “geoengineering” factor, artificial/chemical ice nucleation, jet stream manipulation, etc, which can and does create temporary cooling anomalies from which the agencies above take an abundance of temp readings in the attempt to lower the overall temperature picture.

Hope we will all take the time to consider the entire data picture before leaping at conclusions. None of this is about “Al Gore” or his scams, but rather its about a harsh and verifiable reality. Any conclusions must consider the massive data altering and even more the global geoengineering programs and their effects.

Even with all this considered, all available peer reviewed science data makes clear the planet is not just warming but in meltdown. Global geoengineering is likely the biggest single factor fueling the fire.

There are other important factors outlined in the just posted article below from the Guardian. Of course there is no mention of the elephant in the room that is global geoengineering, and its effects on the total equation, but many other fallacies of the “global cooling” notion and those that are pushing it are clearly addressed.

Dana Nuccitelli
Monday 9 September 2013



When it comes to climate science reporting, the Mail on Sunday and Telegraph are only reliable in the sense that you can rely on them to usually get the science wrong. This weekend’s Arctic sea ice articles from David Rose of the Mail and Hayley Dixon at the Telegraph unfortunately fit that pattern.

Both articles claimed that Arctic sea ice extent grew 60 percent in August 2013 as compared to August 2012. While this factoid may be technically true (though the 60 percent figure appears to be an exaggeration), it’s also largely irrelevant. For one thing, the annual Arctic sea ice minimum occurs in September – we’re not there yet. And while this year’s minimum extent will certainly be higher than last year’s, that’s not the least bit surprising. As University of Reading climate scientist Ed Hawkins noted last year,

“Around 80% of the ~100 scientists at the Bjerknes [Arctic climate science] conference thought that there would be MORE Arctic sea-ice in 2013, compared to 2012.”

Regression toward the Mean

The reason so many climate scientists predicted more ice this year than last is quite simple. There’s a principle in statistics known as “regression toward the mean,” which is the phenomenon that if an extreme value of a variable is observed, the next measurement will generally be less extreme. In other words, we should not often expect to observe records in consecutive years. 2012 shattered the previous record low sea ice extent; hence ‘regression towards the mean’ told us that 2013 would likely have a higher minimum extent.

The amount of Arctic sea ice left at the end of the annual melt season is mainly determined by two factors – natural variability (weather patterns and ocean cycles), and human-caused global warming. The Arctic has lost 75 percent of its summer sea ice volume over the past three decades primarily due to human-caused global warming, but in any given year the weather can act to either preserve more or melt more sea ice. Last year the weather helped melt more ice, while this year the weather helped preserve more ice.

Last year I created an animated graphic called the ‘Arctic Escalator’ that predicted the behavior we’re now seeing from the Mail on Sunday and Telegraph. Every year when the weather acts to preserve more ice than the previous year, we can rely on climate contrarians to claim that Arctic sea ice is “rebounding” or “recovering” and there’s nothing to worry about. Given the likelihood that 2013 would not break the 2012 record, I anticipated that climate contrarians would claim this year as yet another “recovery” year, exactly as the Mail on Sunday and Telegraph have done.

Arctic sea ice extent data, 1980–2012. Data from NSIDC.

In short, this year’s higher sea ice extent is merely due to the fact that last year’s minimum extent was record-shattering, and the weather was not as optimal for sea ice loss this summer. However, the long-term trend is one of rapid Arctic sea ice decline, and research has shown this is mostly due to human-caused global warming.

When Will the Arctic be Ice-Free?

Both Rose and Dixon referenced a 2007 BBC article quoting Professor Wieslaw Maslowski saying that the Arctic could be ice free in the summer of 2013. In a 2011 BBC article, he predicted ice-free Arctic seas by 2016 “plus or minus three years.” Other climate scientists believe this prediction is too pessimistic, and expect the first ice-free Arctic summers by 2040.

It’s certainly difficult to predict exactly when an ice-free Arctic summer will occur. While climate research has shown that the Arctic sea ice decline is mostly human-caused, there may also be a natural component involved. The remaining sea ice may abruptly vanish, or it may hold on for a few decades longer. What we do know is that given its rapid decline, an ice-free Arctic appears to be not a question of if, but when.

Continuing Global Warming

Both articles also claimed that “some scientists” are predicting that we’re headed into a period of global cooling. Both named just one scientist making this claim – Professor Tsonis of the University of Wisconsin, whose research shows that slowed global surface warming is only temporary. In fact, Tsonis’ co-author Kyle Swanson wrote,

“What do our results have to do with Global Warming, i.e., the century-scale response to greenhouse gas emissions? VERY LITTLE, contrary to claims that others have made on our behalf.”

Both articles also wrongly claimed that global warming has “paused” since 1997. In reality, global surface temperatures have warmed over the past 15 years, albeit more slowly than during the previous 15 years. It is possible to cherry pick a shorter time frame over which global surface temperatures haven’t warmed, as I illustrated in my other animated ‘Escalator’ graphic.

Average of NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4 monthly global surface temperature anomalies from January 1970 through November 2012 (green) with linear trends applied to the timeframes Jan ’70 – Oct ’77, Apr ’77 – Dec ’86, Sep ’87 – Nov ’96, Jun ’97 – Dec ’02, and Nov ’02 – Nov ’12.

However, the opposite is true of the overall warming of the planet – Earth has accumulated more heat over the past 15 years than during the prior 15 years.

Global heat accumulation data (ocean heating in blue; land, atmosphere, and ice heating in red) from Nuccitelli et al. (2012).

Recent research strongly suggests that the main difference between these two periods comes down to ocean heat absorption. Over the past decade, heat has been transferred more efficiently to the deep oceans, offsetting much of the human-caused warming at the surface. During the previous few decades, the opposite was true, with heat being transferred less efficiently into the oceans, causing more rapid warming at the surface. This is due to ocean cycles, but cycles are cyclical – meaning it’s only a matter of time before another warm cycle occurs, causing accelerating surface warming (as Tsonis’ research shows).

It would be foolhardy for anyone to predict future global cooling, and those few who are so foolish are unwilling to put their money where their mouth is, as my colleague John Abraham found out when challenging one to a bet, only to find the other party unwilling to stand behind it.

Rose and Dixon Invent an IPCC ‘Crisis Meeting’

Both articles also claimed the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), whose Fifth Assessment Report is due out in a few weeks, has been forced “to hold a crisis meeting.” This claim made both articles even though Ed Hawkins noted,

“I told David Rose on the phone and by email on Thursday about the IPCC process and lack of ‘crisis’ meeting.”

Unfortunately that didn’t stop Rose from inventing this meeting, or Dixon from repeating Rose’s fictional reporting in the Telegraph.

Yes, Humans are Driving Global Warming

Finally, both articles quoted climate scientist Judith Curry claiming that the anticipated IPCC statement of 95 percent confidence that humans are the main cause of the current global warming is unjustified. However, Curry has no expertise in global warming attribution, and has a reputation for exaggerating climate uncertainties. In reality, the confident IPCC statement is based on recent global warming attribution research. More on this once the IPCC report is actually published – any current commentaries on the draft report are premature.

Shoddy Climate Reporting

These two articles at the Mail on Sunday and Telegraph continue the unfortunate trend of shoddy climate reporting in the two periodicals, particularly from David Rose. They suffer from cherry picking short-term data while ignoring the long-term human-caused trends, misrepresenting climate research, repeating long-debunked myths, and inventing IPCC meetings despite being told by climate scientists that these claims are pure fiction.

Based on their history of shoddy reporting, the safest course of action when reading a climate article in the Mail on Sunday or Telegraph is to assume they’re misrepresentations or falsehoods until you can verify the facts therein for yourself.

If you have any questions about this email, please contact the theguardian.com user help desk: userhelp@theguardian.com.

theguardian.com Copyright (c) Guardian News and Media Limited. 2013 Registered in England and Wales No. 908396 Registered office: PO Box 68164, Kings Place, 90 York Way, London N1P 2AP


25 Responses to Global Cooling or Global Warming, Which is it?

  1. Mysteriousbarges says:

    Yup! We should all bicycle to work and be forced to live in caves!

    I like you’re ideas and the higher politicians get a free pass so they can fly on the dirty jet planes all they want and Al Bore gets a free pass on his 4 huge mansions that uses more electricity in one MONTH then Americans pay in a year!

  2. Elaine says:

    How do you deal with people who want to fight geoengineering but at the same time, fall into the trap of global warming denial?
    It’s a vicious cycle… global warming denial permits the oil industry to go on sky is the limit, and encourages people to exercise their burning fossil fuel activities without any second thought. Then, the oil industry lobby pushes scientists to find artificial solutions to global warming so they don’t need to press the brake. The confused activists is being totally used here, to strenghten the oil industry and geoengineering’s position.

  3. Ken says:

    Outstanding work and I am SO glad that we agree on this. I’ve been fighting the deniers and this just backs up what I’ve been saying the last 2 years. The patents and all available data backup exactly what you’re saying. Couldn’t agree more. Checkout some videos I made of them since 2006.

  4. Ellin Callvis says:

    Di says geoengineering is causing some, perhaps most, of the warming. Then she goes on about that there is warming.

    It is hard to know what motivates people to do what they do, but logic tells me that oilmen are asking the US military to do chemtrails to try to keep the planet from heating up as much as it would without chemtrails, so they can debunk AGW and keep burning oil.

    Dianne might have explained why anyone would want to cause more warming than CO2 is doing, what they might be motivated by

    arrrrggg captcha!!! 5 trys

    • YN says:

      Sorry about the captcha Ellin. It’s a necessary evil.

    • YN says:

      Hello Ellin,
      I believe available data on geoengineering leads to the following conclusion, that although geoengineering can and does create large scale cooling events, artificial/chemical snow storms, and blocks some 20% of the suns direct rays or more, the global climate engineering programs are indeed worsening our overall situation for the long run. I agree with your conclusion that the military industrial complex is trying to toxically hide the full extent of anthropogenic warming (again while at the same time making it worse overall) in order to keep the hydrocarbon economy going.
      All this being said, there are certainly many more agendas to the spraying, much of which we can not truly know.

  5. dave says:

    If this is true, then that means the Goeengineers are trying to heat the planet not cool it. And carbon is being used for a Trillion $ carbon trading racket.

  6. Earth Angel says:

    Yes, I too was rather shocked at Alex Jones making light of the very real problems facing us regarding the climate changes happening. He is usually right on the mark but is really ‘off the beam’ on this one. I hope he does some more research and presents a more balanced picture of the dangerous challenges facing us all regarding the out of control ‘weather meddling’ that is destroying the natural balance of our earth. I hope Dane is able to speak with him about it and correct him- very bad to spread disinformation to millions around the globe.. hopefully unintentionally!

  7. Tim says:

    James- Moon is not made of cheese? What is next? No man on moon either?
    As part of manipulation, watch commercials and see how many chemtrails you see. It is amazing. ABC/ESPN (Disney) is the worst.

  8. VICTOR says:


    Great article!

    Given the coverage that Mike Adams and Alex Jones have, it is critical that both of them be brought up to speed regarding what is happening with the climate based on actual scientific data.

  9. Darlene Rozon says:

    Great article’s

  10. Bob says:

    Alex Jones/InfoWars.com pushes “global cooling” disinformation AGAIN.

    Alex Jones often claims that he makes mistakes and that he will admit it when he is wrong. Again, here is another example of the conundrum facing any activist who’ve been proudly wearing their “Climate Change Denier” badges since the “Climate Gate” fraud was exposed.

    Alex Jones and the activists who helped to expose the “Climate Gate/Carbon Tax” fraud have linked “global warming” to “Climate Gate” in a way that has now created a “credibility issue” for them. They now have to somehow now go back and reexamine the science related to “climate change” from a position unhinged from the carbon tax fraud.

    They then must perform 7 steps to get from wrong to right…
    1)Reexamine, or maybe for the first time examine alternative sources of scientific data and analysis related to “climate change” to come to the “global warming” conclusion.
    2)Commit some serious hours to learning about Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering (SAG) and it’s effects on Earth’s biosphere.
    3)Link “global warming” to SAG.
    4)Admit that he made a mistake about “global cooling.”
    5)Somehow explain to their audience that the “scientific” fraud of “Climate Gate” wasn’t that “global warming” was false, only the claim that CO2 was the primary cause.
    6)Explain the fact that the erratic behavior of the Arctic “surface ice” is actually due to multiple devastating effects of Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering and HAARP.
    7)Begin and then expand their reporting on the toxicity to life from the heavy metal particulate spraying in the atmosphere from Geoengineering.

    Alex Jones or Mike Adams, Truthers and “Climate Gate” activist have to find the motivation and courage to take these steps, and reconnect some of the dots. Or else they will become a major obstacle of disinformation preventing mass public awareness of Geoengineering, “global warming” and all of the toxicity factors affecting life on Earth.

    I am again concerned to hear Alex Jones make these statements in two separate segments of his 3-hour radio show on Friday, 9/13/13. ( Below, I did my best to transcribe 2 separate parts of his radio show from last Friday.)

    Unless Alex Jones is not what he appears to be, he needs to spend less time researching and discussing polar bear populations and instead deeply engage himself or one of his staff reporters in an examination of alternative sources of scientific data with the same appreciation and respect he and InfoWars are honored with as a leading source within the quickly expanding arena of alternative media.

    Below I did my best to transcribe the comments made by Alex Jones quote from the InfoWars.com radio show Friday 9/13/13…

    http://rss.infowars.com/20130913_Fri_Alex.mp3 (.MP3 download link)

    (Approximately 3 minutes and 57 seconds during the show’s introduction)
    (quote) “The Daily Mail is reporting on new reports put out by NASA, and other major groups… it’s now global cooling… record return of Arctic ice caps as it grows by 60% in the last year. You can see those satellite photos. Now I just played you two weeks ago CNN saying it’s all basically mal good, the polar bears are a… can’t swim and are drowning, and that we’re all basically dead if we don’t pay Al Gore money. There are 5 times the polar bears that there were in surveys in 1955. Look that up. 5 times, 5 times, 5 times. They are the greatest land animal swimmer, recorded as swimming over 250 miles. On record… boom, numbers exploding… boom, ice caps getting bigger than ever… boom, on record… it doesn’t matter. CNN gets up there and says it’s all melting and shows you a satellite shot of the spring and summer when it always contracts then expands in the fall and the winter. All of the major top scientist admitting right now that the ice cap in the north and the south are getting very large and they’re worried about a new ice age. Oh but don’t worry you pay Al Gore money, he will fix that as well. You can sell him your ocean-front property that he says is going to flood, because he’s been buying it up as fast as he can. So this is the type of garbage that we deal with… “ (end quote)

    (Approximately 2 hrs, 5 min mark)
    (quote) “…this is the same government run media that tells you that the northern and southern ice caps are the smallest ever recorded. Ladies and gentleman, NASA admits that it is the largest recorded since they had satellites in the 1950’s. You can go to the Daily Mail, you can go to NASA, here it is right here, it shows the August 2012 ice cap, the August 2013 ice cap… this is the earliest closing in a very long time of the northern passage for ships who are normally able to go even into October or so… through there, by August it was already frozen shut where only the largest ice breakers could go through the southern areas. Hey now, now again folks, this is how they lie to you, cause I played it a few weeks ago, we have the clip… CNN said the ice cap’s the smallest ever, the polar bears are all dying. Now the polar bear numbers are up 5 fold, just look that up. Just type in “polar bear numbers explode” it’s all on record. They exploded 5 times in Northern Europe where they checked them, I think they said 4 times in Russia, and they admitted some areas as much as 10 times in North America, they don’t have an actual number. They are just all over the place… and that’s because they restrict hunting of them a lot now, so they’re running around like roaches basically. I think it’s a beautiful, cool animal, but you know, then now they think well some are starving… well some have always starved… so the strongest survive… that’s how this works. But see, they don’t want us to be able to be on air and point all of this out. They don’t want us on air pointing to all of the things being put into place here. They don’t want the American people, or the people of the world to ever get into reality. And by the way, the public is smart, people can learn about every automobile, be collectors, they can learn about every conceivable thing you can imagine, baseball scores… you name it, but they can’t learn about the ice sheets, they can’t learn about forms of government, cause oh that’s boring, they make it boring. I had the former head of the Department of Education on about this… the head of policy… they were there in the 80’s, saying we’re here to make this boring, we’re here to dumb it down, so that people never get the bug to learn and be creative… and they’ve done it. They’ve got a bunch of unimaginative people who don’t care about any of this, and so now they’re demonizing anybody who points out what’s really going on.” (end quote)

    • admin says:

      Hello Bob,
      My most sincere thanks for taking the time to pen this, we will certainly post and I will also be forwarding this to many others off the record.
      Please feel free to share any future prospectives or data directly with me.
      Thank you again for your help in addressing this issue, you did a great job of it Amigo,

  11. Andy Kruusi says:

    Great article Dane. As always, it’s up to the individual to ascertain facts from folly. It’s sometimes confusing, with so much disinformation, but hard data always holds fast to those of us who seek it. Keep up the hard work.

  12. Bob says:

    Dane, thanks for writing this article. I believe there is both intentional and unintentional disinformation regarding “climate change” via promoting the idea of “global cooling” as recently presented in Mike Adams article posted on both InfoWars.com and NaturalNews.com.

    I consider both of these sites as major positive contributors to publicly exposing both political and scientific fraud. So to see this article posted a few days ago (Sept. 10th) promoting the “global cooling” disinformation was quite startling to me.

    I believe that Mike Adams has chosen to focus on and highlight the political dis-information campaign surrounding the “Carbon Tax” fraud at the expense of presenting a balanced view of the scientific dis-information and conclusions regarding “global warming” versus “global cooling.” But in doing so, he is doing exactly what the Geoengineer program managers want, which is to keep the level of confusion and cognitive dissonance high in regards to the scientific observations and conclusions about “climate change.”

    I just discovered and watched the video of your interview with Mike Adams on InfoWars.com on April 4th, 2013. During this interview Mike Adams appeared to be in agreement with most of your research. But then a few days ago (Sept. 10, 2013) wrote an article on Natural News titled… “Global warming computer models collapse; Arctic ice sheets rapidly expand as planet plunges into global cooling.”


    In this article Mike Adams makes the statement, (quote) “It turns out that global warming predictions were little more than doom-and-gloom fear mongering based on failed computer models.”

    Again, it appears to me that Mike Adams has chosen to focus on and highlight the political disinformation campaign surrounding the “Climate Gate/Carbon Tax” fraud at the expense of presenting a balanced view of the scientific data related to “climate change.”

    It would be extremely enlightening if you were to contact Mike Adams at NaturalNew.com and InfoWars.com and ask them for an opportunity for another interview to specifically address the disinformation presented in the recent article written by Mike Adams regarding “global cooling.”

    In the same article Mike Adams also states, (quote) “In truth, global warming has never been a scientific argument from the get-go. It has always been — and always will be — a political argument dressed up in the language of science.”

    IMO, this statement is in the form of “half-truth”. Yes, “global warming” was first presented to the public consciousness surrounded by a “political” fraud now known as “climate gate”, and yes… it will likely continue to be this way until the exposure and public awareness of the associated scientific fraud and dis-information overrides.

    • admin says:

      Thanks Bob. We’re going to look into that.

    • Dan Cieri says:

      Bob…you make great points about where Mike Adams is coming from. I like Mike a lot, but was amused when Mike Adams got his new microscope and studied a McDonald’s McNugget and found a ‘fiber’ that he raised hell about. He went on to pass that to the Carnicom Institute, thinking it was a Morgellon’s fiber. Whether or not that was a Morgellon’s fiber will be always be a point of conjecture. But for Mike to jump on the Morgellon’s bandwagon like he did gave me the realization that Mike knows a helluva lot about foo and nutrition, but should limit his involvement in other areas like this and Morgellon’s, not because he doesn’t necessarily know what he’s talking about, but rather because he has to many people who follow him and will base their decisions and beliefs on what he says. No different than a Sean Penn (sorry Sean…loved you as Spacoli but don’t care about you as a foreign relations activist) shouldn’t be trying to tell us that Hugo Chavez is a good guy, Mike should stick to what he knows best. Good reporting Bob….find your work here to be real and valid.

  13. maria says:

    I think, geoengineering is the main source for the climate chaos!

    The reason for the actual Cooling? http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/around-the-world-in-4-days-nasa-tracks-chelyabinsk-meteor-plume/
    Was it a meteor??

    Esa’s Cryosat mission observes continuing Arctic winter ice decline.


  14. rollsthepaul says:

    Watch a documentary called “Chasing Ice”. Now that is real science! The chemtrails are an attempt to block sunlight but that is not enough. The ice continues to melt and the evidence is irrefutable.

  15. Tim says:

    Maybe chemtrails are working to some degree, but at what cost to human health?

  16. Tom Sperhac says:

    I’m sick to see the jet-stream being manipulated here in the U.S. and Great Briton; to name two.
    Please tell me how do we stop this insanity?

    • James says:

      @Tom -> Please tell me how do we stop this insanity?

      Can I make a suggestion? Its going to take a military coup by ‘the good guys’, IF indeed such people still exist in high enough places. If they prosecuted the criminal element behind 9/11, and got ‘ALL’ of them, it would clean the house. All of the Skull and Bones neo-con crowd would go to jail, the Fed, the Zionist element, AIPAC, etc. You could unwind all the 21C laws that have removed your personal freedoms, jail the regime that has taken over your country, and return the Constitution. Until you do this, nothing will change. Its probably your (our) only chance to survive what’s coming.

  17. James says:

    Thanks Dane, for the article. The issue is most definitively the fulcrum of the debate. The fact that the NWO is (somewhat) successfully pushing the global cooling story when the f’ing poles are melting (right before our eyes!!!) illustrates the depth of mind-control at work. People will believe that the moon is made of cheese, if the right gov authority tells them so. It doesn’t help that literary giants like Michael Crichton ( who while at university, was caught plagiarizing a work by George Orwell) spin the global warming story ass-backwards.

    The world is in deep, deep trouble and only a small number of citizens get the real picture. We don’t have a lot of time. Thanks again Dane.

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